by Paul Joseph
June 27, 2010
With India’s economic recovery well under way, its commercial real estate market is also beginning to stabilise, said a report released by the Real Estate Intelligence Services division of Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj. The report titled, “The Seven Stars of India – India’’s best-performing micro markets for occupiers”, highlights the most favourable office micro-markets in India. The report said that while the landscape will remain favourable for tenants in 2010, landlords will have greater influence starting in 2011, which means they should proactively look at locking in attractive leases in the near-term, as office rents are beginning to bottom out. Office micro-markets were rated in the report on the basis of high real estate development, well-developed support infrastructure and sustainable social and business environments. “With India’s economic recovery well under way, its commercial real estate market is beginning to stabilise,” Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj associate director (Real Estate Intelligence Services) Abhishek Kiran Gupta said in the report. It further states that most Indian cities witnessed an uptick in the volume of lease transactions during the last fiscal, with leases for more than a million square feet given out in Delhi and the NCR, Mumbai and Hyderabad. With the projected growth of net completions expected to outpace net absorption, a significant supply overhang is expected to remain over the next one year. This would lead to a rise in vacancy levels to mid-20 per cent by the end of 2010 against 17 per cent in 2009. The report also gives insights on the changing strategies for commercial occupiers in 2010, factoring in dynamic market movement.
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by Paul Joseph
April 7, 2010
The commercial property is finally on an upswing. The spell cast by the global meltdown in 2008-09 is finally wearing off, as both office and retail space are back in demand. However, most of the development in 2010 is expected to happen in tier-I cities of NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore and Chennai, thanks to a new generation of companies that are considering offshoring for the first time in these destinations. According to global real-estate consultant, Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj (JLLM) about 60.9 million square feet (sq ft) of office space is expected to become operational in seven Indian cities — including NCR, Mumbai, Pune, Chennai, Kolkata, Bangalore and Hyderabad — during 2010. The tier-I cities of NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore and Chennai are expected to contribute around 74% to this supply. “Although absorption of commercial office space has increased across cities, destinations like NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore and Hyderabad have witnessed large upswings in lease transactions during the first quarter of (calendar year) 2010,” said Abhishek Kiran Gupta, head — real estate intelligence services, JLLM. “Sustained demand upswing from occupiers have led to perceptible strengthening in absorption of commercial office space across Indian cities. The demand, which was initially led by the sunshine sectors like telecom and pharmaceutical industries in 2009, has now been strengthened further by improving conditions in BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance) and IT/ITES sectors,” he said. “The IT/ITES companies are eyeing large footplates in suburban micro-markets, where large transactions have been recorded during the first quarter of 2010 in several projects that are under construction,” Mr Gupta said. “Occupiers are also on a lookout for outright purchases, realising the narrow window of opportunity which prevails in the market for sales transactions,” he added. Even realtors are feeling the change that has come about in the commercial markets. “Yes, there is definitely an upswing as far as commercial leasing activity is concerned. The cost benefits of offshoring/outsourcing to India are being evaluated by a much wider audience and therefore we see a lot of new companies scouting for leased premises,” said Nandakumar OP, GM — business development, Prestige Estates Projects. An overview of global realty markets by JLLM highlighted a similar trend. “As the global business environment becomes competitive, a new generation of companies are being forced to consider offshoring for the first time. Several US companies, including Deloitte and NetApp, have registered significant space requirements in India,” it stated. “While Bangalore has definitely recorded good absorption in the first quarter of 2010, there is marked improvement in Chennai as well. Without doubt IT has been the main contributor of commercial space absorption in south India, followed by the telecom and banking & financial institutions,” Mr Nandakumar said. Prestige itself has three large commercial projects in Bangalore measuring over 30 lakh sq ft each. It also has 16 lakh sq ft of projects lined up in Chennai. The vacancy in Grade A office space (aggregated for seven Indian cities — NCR, Mumbai, Pune, Chennai, Kolkata, Bangalore and Hyderabad) stands at 18.1% in March 2010 which is much lower than those that existed last year. Similarly, the aggregated vacancy in Grade A retail space stands at 17.5% in March 2010. As far as the retail side of the commercial market is concerned there seems to be a silver lining as well. “Several retailers, both domestic and foreign, are re-charting their expansion plans in India for the next 2-3 years. However, the increase in enquiries from retailers is translating into absorption in select upcoming malls only,” Mr Gupta of JLLM said. Despite strengthening of absorption rates across cities, upswing in market average rentals have not been observed due to thick supply pipeline ready to become operational.
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