by Paul Joseph
March 29, 2011
Uncategorized
Mumbai’s residential market is predicted to witness a glut in 2012-13 owing to steady new launches at a time when sales are extremely slow, according to real estate consultancy Jones Lang LaSalle. “The overall sentiments of the market and the consistent rate of new project launches in Mumbai give a clear indication of an impending oversupply by 2012. A lot of developers in the most severely affected locations are currently open to closing sales at lower rates,” said a note by JLL. It points out that bouncing back from the economic slowdown-induced realty slump in Mumbai in early 2009, the rates started rising swiftly until the end of 2010. During this period, a total of Rs 20,000 crore was pumped into land acquisition by developers in Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore. Of this, Rs 12,000 crore was spent in Mumbai alone, leading to high land valuations and inflated rates. Also, due to the prolonged slump in the commercial realty market, developers focused on the residential market. “Over the past 12 to 14 months, developers from Mumbai and Delhi started focusing on their home markets and launching a substantial number of residential projects. Land was bought at expensive rates and if sales continue to remain dull for longer, there would be a 15-25 per correction,” said Sanjay Dutt, CEO (business) at JLL India. Dutt added that of the total recent residential sales about 65 per cent flats in Delhi and 35 per cent in Mumbai have gone to speculators. These flats are also expected to roll back into the market. According to JLL, real estate prices have already dipped in Parel, Lower Parel, Mahalaxmi, Bandra east, Andheri east, Goregaon east, Kurla and Mulund. The agency points out that after surpassing the peak values of 2008 by 20 per cent by way of correction, the property rates have now slumped back to peak 2008 levels.
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by Paul Joseph
March 25, 2011
Uncategorized
After a one-year period starting in the third quarter of 2009, which saw a strong recovery with a record 40%-plus increase in prices, the Mumbai residential real estate market has been seeing a slowdown over the past two quarters across various micro markets. The past six months have seen the return of negotiability in asking prices, and saw the return from a sellers’ to a buyers’ market . Both registration data and home loan disbursals are indicating a distinct slowdown. The number of apartments being sold in the first quarter of 2011 is considerably lower than in the corresponding period of 2010. Developers who were selling their entire projects in a few weeks are now taking months to sell their unsold stock. Many home buyers are playing the waiting game, anticipating a further correction. The key reasons behind this slowdown are higher prices, higher interest rates impacting affordability, lack of liquidity, scams diluting investor sentiment – and, to a lesser extent, excess supply in a few micro markets. Any slowdown in the economy has not been a key criterion. Many developers and agents admit that sales have slowed down. Gone are the days when large numbers of apartments were sold during the launch itself . The trend of short term speculators booking apartments at pre-launch or launch prices and selling them a few months later at higher prices (as witnessed in early 2010) has reduced considerably. Some of the other trends witnessed over the past six months include developers offering significantly lower rates to customers willing to cough up a 30-40 % down payment.
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